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US Debt Hits $40T: What $683K Per Family Means for Markets

The US national debt just crossed $40 trillion. Every American family's share is $683K. And the people who should be fixing it are arguing about bond buybacks.

Aug 26, 20262 min read

GLD

market-analysis

30-Year Treasury Hits 5.32%: The Chart That's Spooking Every Bull

The 30-year Treasury briefly hit 5.32% and the 10-year sits at 4.7%. The bond market is sending a message, and it's not subtle.

Aug 25, 20262 min read

SPYJPMPGKO

market-analysis

US-Canada Trade War Escalates: 50% Tariff Hits $20B in Goods

The US-Canada trade collapse just got a September 8 deadline. Here's what social sentiment is screaming that the market is only half-hearing.

Aug 24, 20262 min read

market-analysis

Iran Closes Hormuz: What the Bond Market Revolt Means for Stocks

The Strait of Hormuz is shut, bond yields are screaming, and US-Canada trade just blew up. The market is underpricing all three at once.

Aug 23, 20262 min read

NVDACRWDMRVLUSO

market-analysis

Bond Yields Hit 30-Year Highs: Is the 60/40 Portfolio Dead?

US 30-year yields just hit 30-year highs. Treasury's buyback flopped. Gold and Bitcoin are up. This isn't noise, it's a rotation.

Aug 22, 20262 min read

GLDBTCAVGOMRNA

market-analysis

Bill Dudley Calls AI Stock Bubble: Shiller P/E at 41, Bursts by 2027

Bill Dudley says the AI bubble looks a lot like the railroad and internet booms. With Shiller P/E at 41 and consumers maxing out cards, is he right?

Aug 21, 20262 min read

BRK.BAVGOWMTBTC

market-analysis

Treasury Doubles Bond Buybacks as 30-Year Yield Hit 5.33%

Treasury just doubled buybacks on 10-to-30-year bonds. Markets liked it. JPMorgan thinks it's playing with fire. Both can be right.

Aug 20, 20262 min read

MRNAMRKELTGT

market-analysis

Bond Vigilantes Are Back: 30-Year Yields Hit 5.32%, a 19-Year High

The 30-year yield just hit 5.32%, a 19-year high. Stocks are sliding, mortgages are spiking, and Iran is still holding the Strait of Hormuz hostage.

Aug 19, 20262 min read

HDQQQUSOAMLX

market-analysis

Oil at $83, 30-Year Yields at 5.28%: The Market's Two-Front War

Oil at $83, 30-year yields touching 5.28%, and a US-Iran MOU that expired with no deal. Here's what the macro picture actually says.

Aug 17, 20262 min read

XOMCVXOXYRTX

market-analysis

Beef Prices Up 25% in 2025: Why Tyson $TSN Can't Win

US beef prices are up 12% year over year, ground beef is up 25% since January 2025, and the cattle herd is near a 50-year low. Here's who loses and who wins.

Aug 16, 20262 min read

TSN

market-analysis

Hormuz Crisis: Oil at $82, Diesel at Record Highs, and No Exit in Sight

Oil hits $82 as the Strait of Hormuz stays shut. Diesel is at record highs, harvest season is about to get brutal, and China is the next target.

Aug 15, 20263 min read

XOMCVXDALUAL

market-analysis

The Jobless Boom: S&P Hits Records While Hiring Rate Halves

The S&P 500 hit all-time highs while retail sales dropped 0.6% in July. Welcome to the jobless boom, where AI prints profits without printing paychecks.

Aug 14, 20262 min read

AMATWDAYETN

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