SpaceX IPO at $1.75T, Iran War at $100 Oil, and YouTube's Finance Creators Are All Saying the Same Scary Thing
Bloomberg, CNBC, and independent creators are singing from the same hymn sheet — and the chorus is 'be careful out there'
Ticker Ratings
| Ticker | Rating | Entry Price | Current | $ Gain | % Gain |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SPCE Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc | hold | $2.32 | — | — | — |
| NVDA NVIDIA CORP | buy | $171.77 | — | — | — |
| WDC WESTERN DIGITAL CORP | buy | $286.00 | — | — | — |
| MU MICRON TECHNOLOGY INC | buy | $352.29 | — | — | — |
| STX Seagate Technology Holdings plc | buy | $406.86 | — | — | — |
| INTC INTEL CORP | hold | $46.39 | — | — | — |
| NKE NIKE, Inc. | sell | $44.33 | — | — | — |
| LLY ELI LILLY & Co | buy | $947.42 | — | — | — |
| COHR COHERENT CORP. | buy | $237.37 | — | — | — |
| LUMN Lumen Technologies, Inc. | hold | $6.97 | — | — | — |
| OXY OCCIDENTAL PETROLEUM CORP /DE/ | hold | $64.30 | — | — | — |
| APA APA Corp | hold | $43.16 | — | — | — |
| BTC Grayscale Bitcoin Mini Trust ETF | hold | $66435.00 | — | — | — |
| ETH Grayscale Ethereum Staking Mini ETF | hold | $2043.09 | — | — | — |
| NVAX NOVAVAX INC | hold | $7.97 | — | — | — |
| GOOG Alphabet Inc. | hold | $288.54 | — | — | — |
| AAPL Apple Inc. | hold | $253.71 | — | — | — |
| AA Alcoa Corp | buy | $69.79 | — | — | — |
| CENX CENTURY ALUMINUM CO | buy | $60.15 | — | — | — |
Let's take a tour of finance YouTube this week, where the vibe can best be described as 'cautiously terrified.' The dominant story across Bloomberg Podcasts, CNBC, and independent creators alike is the US-Iran conflict — with WTI crude near $99/barrel, the Strait of Hormuz still choked, and gas prices averaging $4.06/gallon nationally. Markets rallied on ceasefire hopes (S&P 500 +0.7%, Nasdaq +1.2% on April 1st), but multiple analysts — including Janus Henderson's Michael Kontopoulos and Morgan Stanley's Ellen Zentner, who puts recession odds at 40% — are loudly calling this rally a trap.
Meanwhile, two stories are fighting for the 'actually kind of exciting' slot. First: SpaceX confidentially filed for what could be the largest IPO in US history, targeting a valuation north of $1.75 trillion with Goldman, JPMorgan, and Morgan Stanley on the ticket and a jaw-dropping 30% retail allocation. Second: Muddy Waters founder Carson Block has done a complete 180 on AI, now warning it could displace 15-25% of knowledge work jobs within 3-5 years — potentially triggering mass 401k withdrawals and a passive flow reversal crash. Cool cool cool.
The one thing every creator from Bloomberg Surveillance to Simon Dixon agrees on? This market is not pricing in a long war — and if the Hormuz strait stays closed through year-end, the rally everyone's celebrating right now will age about as well as a Nike turnaround promise.