WSB Discovers 'Production for Security' — Reddit's New Oil Trade Has Legs (and Jet Fuel Isn't Cheap)
The Strait of Hormuz blockade sent Reddit's investing communities into overdrive — here's where the smart upvotes are landing
Ticker Ratings
| Ticker | Rating | Entry Price | Current | $ Gain | % Gain |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SLB SLB LIMITED/NV | buy | $51.87 | — | — | — |
| LUV SOUTHWEST AIRLINES CO | sell | $39.16 | — | — | — |
| GS GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP INC | hold | $889.24 | — | — | — |
| INTC INTEL CORP | buy | $64.80 | — | — | — |
| NOK NOKIA CORP | buy | $10.27 | — | — | — |
| RVMD Revolution Medicines, Inc. | buy | $135.00 | — | — | — |
| LEG LEGGETT & PLATT INC | buy | $11.27 | — | — | — |
| IBM INTERNATIONAL BUSINESS MACHINES CORP | hold | $237.41 | — | — | — |
| AMZN AMAZON COM INC | buy | $238.77 | — | — | — |
Reddit's investing subs are on fire this week and for once it's not meme stocks — it's crude oil, defense, and rare earths. The Hormuz blockade thesis has taken over high-upvote DD threads, with the core idea being what Bloomberg's Academy Securities analyst Peter Shear called 'production for security': companies making stuff the US needs at home. Think semiconductors, critical minerals, nuclear, and domestic energy. Brent crude surged 7.6% above $102/barrel and WTI hit $104.15 after Trump announced the naval blockade, and Reddit noticed first.
The airline pain is real and WSB is actively fading the sector. Jet fuel is up to 30% of airline operating costs, and with $LUV already down ~2% on the news and Bernstein warning on the whole group, the short thesis is getting serious traction in options threads. Meanwhile, energy names are the obvious long — $SLB, domestic drillers, and even nuclear plays are popping up in screener posts. One widely-upvoted comment pointed out that OPEC already dropped production by a record 7.88 million barrels per day last month before this escalation. That's not a typo.
The contrarian crowd is pointing to BlackRock's Jean Boivin, who called the selloff in tech a buying opportunity given strong earnings fundamentals — and Ed Yardeni of Yardeni Research agrees, calling geopolitical crises 'historically the best buying opportunities.' Reddit's FOMO meter is blinking, and it's not pointing at puts.