Seven-Day Win Streak, A Ceasefire, and Hardware Eating Software Alive — Here's Your Weekly Recap
Oil crashed, chips surged, and the Strait of Hormuz became the most important waterway in your portfolio
Ticker Ratings
| Ticker | Rating | Entry Price | Current | $ Gain | % Gain |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CRWV CoreWeave, Inc. | buy | $91.70 | — | — | — |
| INTC INTEL CORP | buy | $61.90 | — | — | — |
| LEVI LEVI STRAUSS & CO | buy | $22.96 | — | — | — |
| META Meta Platforms, Inc. | buy | $629.40 | — | — | — |
| MSFT MICROSOFT CORP | hold | $373.10 | — | — | — |
| ORCL ORACLE CORP | hold | $137.95 | — | — | — |
| CRM Salesforce, Inc. | hold | $170.52 | — | — | — |
| PLTR Palantir Technologies Inc. | hold | $130.10 | — | — | — |
| CRWD CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc. | hold | $394.87 | — | — | — |
| AMD ADVANCED MICRO DEVICES INC | buy | $235.85 | — | — | — |
| CVX CHEVRON CORP | sell | $189.60 | — | — | — |
| XOM EXXON MOBIL CORP | sell | $154.33 | — | — | — |
| STZ CONSTELLATION BRANDS, INC. | hold | $162.72 | — | — | — |
| SHW SHERWIN WILLIAMS CO | buy | $335.73 | — | — | — |
| HD HOME DEPOT, INC. | buy | $339.20 | — | — | — |
| CAT CATERPILLAR INC | buy | $788.25 | — | — | — |
| GS GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP INC | buy | $903.80 | — | — | — |
| CVNA CARVANA CO. | sell | $326.79 | — | — | — |
| BTC Grayscale Bitcoin Mini Trust ETF | hold | $71866.00 | — | — | — |
Let's set the scene: on Monday, oil was at $113, Trump was threatening that 'a whole civilization will die tonight,' and markets were doing their best impression of a nervous breakdown. By Wednesday, the Dow had ripped 1,325 points, the S&P 500 was up 2.5%, and oil posted its biggest single-day drop in six years after a US-Iran two-week ceasefire reopened the Strait of Hormuz. Pakistan — yes, Pakistan — brokered the whole thing. Diplomacy comes from unexpected places, folks.
The week's sharpest trade thesis came straight from Jim Cramer's whiteboard: hardware is destroying enterprise software. The IGV software ETF bled out while $CRWV surged ~3.5% on a $21 billion Meta deal, $INTC jumped 4.7% to a 5-year high on a Google Xeon commitment, and chip names broadly partied. Meanwhile Palantir, Microsoft, Oracle, and Salesforce got the vibe check they didn't want. Earnings-wise, $LEVI was the quiet hero — 14% revenue growth, a Beyoncé collab, and raised full-year guidance. Turns out denim is recession-proof.
The macro picture is murkier: EY Parthenon's chief economist sees GDP decelerating to ~1.5% with inflation heading toward 4%, the Fed is openly debating rate hikes AND cuts simultaneously, and WTI still sits above $96/barrel — 40% above pre-conflict levels. The ceasefire is two weeks long. The market is pricing in a lot of optimism for something that expires faster than a carton of milk.