Iran Deal, Fed Hawk, SpaceX Mania: The Week Wall Street Couldn't Stop Talking About
From a surprise US-Iran ceasefire to Kevin Warsh's hawkish debut, social sentiment had a lot to digest — and mostly got it right
Ticker Ratings
| Ticker | Rating | Entry Price | Current | $ Gain | % Gain |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| INTC INTEL CORP | buy | $134.18 | — | — | — |
| ACN Accenture plc | sell | $128.70 | — | — | — |
| KMX CARMAX INC | sell | $53.55 | — | — | — |
| AAPL Apple Inc. | hold | $297.23 | — | — | — |
| UPS UNITED PARCEL SERVICE INC | hold | $105.06 | — | — | — |
| RTX RTX Corp | buy | $185.74 | — | — | — |
| ADBE ADOBE INC. | hold | $195.28 | — | — | — |
| MRVL Marvell Technology, Inc. | buy | $313.50 | — | — | — |
| WDC WESTERN DIGITAL CORP | buy | $754.10 | — | — | — |
| STX Seagate Technology Holdings plc | buy | $1075.77 | — | — | — |
| MU MICRON TECHNOLOGY INC | buy | $1151.95 | — | — | — |
| BTC Grayscale Bitcoin Mini Trust ETF | hold | $62719.00 | — | — | — |
| AMD ADVANCED MICRO DEVICES INC | buy | $536.62 | — | — | — |
Let's start with the trade of the week: the US-Iran deal. Crude collapsed nearly 5% to ~$75-76/barrel, the Strait of Hormuz reopened, and chip stocks went absolutely feral — the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index ripped 6.5% with $INTC up ~10% on a landmark Apple partnership announcement. YouTube sentiment was split between Ed Yardeni's "Roaring 2020s" still-intact bull case and the doomers on Jeremiah Babe's channel calling this the calm before a dot-com style collapse. Both camps had a point. Neither is boring.
Then Kevin Warsh walked into his first Fed press conference and immediately caused a scene. Nine of 18 FOMC members penciled in a rate hike, core PCE forecasts were revised to 3.3%, and the 2-year Treasury yield spiked to its highest since April 2025. The dot-com-bubble parallel crowd got louder. Meanwhile, $ACN dropped 18% on a revenue miss, $KMX fell 9% on its fourth straight quarter of same-store sales declines, and SpaceX options volume exceeded Tesla, Nvidia, SPY, and QQQ combined — which is either the most exciting or most terrifying sentence in finance right now.
The sentiment signal that aged best: the Reddit and YouTube crowd piling into semis and storage names (Micron, Seagate, Western Digital) weeks ago. That thesis printed hard. The call that still needs proving? That Warsh's hawkish debut is theater, not a lasting regime change — ask again in October.